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Can't win for losing
Can't win for losing The winner's curse, applied to Affordable Care Act plan ... Can't win for losing The winner's curse, applied to Affordable Care Act plan pricing. strategic ...- Authors: Douglas Norris
- Date: Jul 2015
- Competency: Strategic Insight and Integration>Big picture view; Strategic Insight and Integration>Strategy development
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Health & Disability>Health insurance; Health & Disability>Health risks
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Parables and Prophecies Prevent Predictive Prowess
Issue 10 Y ou work in the actuarial department of a smaller health insurance company, and ... through the roof. The success of the firm hinges upon determining a reasonable forecast of where your ...- Authors: Douglas Norris
- Date: Dec 2014
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
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Five Years is a Lifetime
won), which has led to two years (and counting) of great fun. It’s been great exposure to new ideas ... profession is capable of accomplishing. The moral of this story? Take advantage of the opportunities that ...- Authors: Douglas Norris
- Date: Dec 2014
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
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Hidden Markov Models and You: Part 2
Markov Models and You: Part 2 In this continuation of our July 2013 article we explore an algorithm for ... unobservable state. The example in the article is provided in an Excel workbook for the reader to follow ...- Authors: Brian Grossmiller, Douglas Norris
- Date: Dec 2013
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Innovative solutions
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Estimation methods; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Markov Chain
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Simple Rating Systems: Entry-level sports forecasting
able to do this well, with billions of dollars bet on just the most recent Super Bowl alone.4 This ... out- comes; in fact, the name itself has an appealing simplicity to it. However, the method is flexible ...- Authors: Douglas Norris
- Date: Jul 2015
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
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How to get involved: Step one, get involved!
involved! It cam oftentimes be difficult to determine the easiest way for an SOA section member to volunteer ... focus, we will need a lot of help. This article talks through some of the more accessible places that ...- Authors: Douglas Norris
- Date: Dec 2015
- Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>General business skills; Leadership>Thought leadership
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
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How do YOU Forecast?
How do YOU Forecast? An introduction to the Forecasting & Futurism section's 2014 contest, where ... application and develop it. The article discusses the contest, the scoring, and the prize. 6442456949 7/1/2014 ...- Authors: Douglas Norris
- Date: Jul 2014
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter